Opinion: "Cheaper care at home" is a myth – and the real cost is being hidden

Source: Aged Care Association

The recent report by RNZ on unions taking Health New Zealand to court over travel costs should be a wake-up call for policymakers.
For years, the Government has promoted care in the home as the more cost-effective option for supporting older New Zealanders. Keeping people out of residential care has been framed as both compassionate and fiscally responsible.
But there is a growing problem with that narrative: it has never been properly proven.
And now, the fuel crisis is exposing why.
Home-based care is only “cheaper” because key costs are being shifted out of the system and onto workers. Travel – an essential part of delivering care – is not being treated as a core cost of healthcare. Instead, it is increasingly being absorbed by support workers themselves.
This is not efficiency. It is cost displacement.
If we were to take an honest, system-wide view, the picture would look very different. Time spent driving between clients, workforce turnover, missed early interventions, and avoidable hospital admissions all carry real costs. They are simply not being counted in the comparison.
At the same time, the policy settings that prioritise keeping people out of residential care have created a false divide between two parts of the same system.
Both in-home care and residential care are essential. But one is being actively constrained, while the other is being stretched beyond what it was designed to do. And the difference in what they can provide is significant.
Residential care offers 24/7 clinical oversight, immediate response when something changes, and a stable workforce that knows the individual. By contrast, home-based care is often delivered in short visits across the day, with gaps in between where there is no support on site.
For someone with increasing frailty or complex needs, there is simply no comparison.
That is not to argue against care at home. For many people, it is the right choice at the right time. But it should be just that – a choice, based on need – not a default driven by an untested assumption that it is cheaper.
Because the current model is not just shifting costs onto workers. It is also creating inefficiencies that undermine care.
When workers are expected to subsidise the system through unpaid or underpaid travel, the result is predictable: high turnover, difficulty recruiting, and a loss of continuity. Older people see a revolving door of carers, rather than the consistency that allows subtle changes in health or behaviour to be recognised early.
Continuity is not a luxury. It is how deterioration is detected before it becomes a crisis.
Layer on top of that the inefficiency of travel, particularly in rural and regional New Zealand, and the idea of “cheaper care” becomes even harder to sustain. Yet we already have infrastructure that could help solve this.
Aged residential care providers are embedded in communities across the country, often alongside retirement villages or independent living units. They have trained staff, established systems, and a deep understanding of older people’s needs. But current settings largely prevent them from extending care into the surrounding community.
If that changed, we could reduce travel time, stabilise the workforce, and deliver more consistent, relationship-based care – while making far better use of what already exists.
The fuel price spike has not created a problem. It has revealed one.
We cannot continue to claim that care at home is cheaper when the true costs are hidden, shifted, or ignored. Nor can we continue to treat both home care and residential care as the “ugly cousins” of the health system – relied on heavily but undervalued in policy and funding decisions.
If we are serious about getting this right, we need to stop designing the system around what looks cheapest on paper, and start designing it around what actually works for the workforce, for the system, and most importantly, for older New Zealanders.

Climate Studies – Fifty years of observations, no reversal of glacier climate damage

Source: Earth Sciences New Zealand

Fifty years on from the first aerial survey of our Southern Alps glaciers, late snow and variable summer weather delivered a temporary reprieve from rapid ice loss, says Earth Sciences New Zealand.
Researchers carrying out this year’s end-of-summer snowline and glacier survey saw retained snow on some glaciers, but no reversal in the overall trend of ice loss.
“This year’s survey showed some glaciers with snow and ice footprints that weren’t quite as small as what we’ve seen in the past two years. But it’s only a stay of execution and not a reversal in the long-term decline of ice coverage here,” says Earth Sciences NZ Principal Climate Scientist, Dr Andrew Lorrey.
The annual survey began 1977 and is undertaken each March after the end of summer. Earth Sciences NZ researchers team up with scientists from Victoria University of Wellington and the Department of Conservation to take thousands of photos from a light aircraft.
These aerial photos reveal changes in the terminus and snowline position for each glacier compared with previous years. Some of the photos are used to build 3D models that track ice volume changes. Together the results reveal how much of the previous winter’s snow remains to contribute to long-term glacial ice retention.
In Aotearoa, 2025 was the fourth warmest year on record. While this ranked lower than some recent years, every year in the past decade was among the warmest. Globally, the World Meteorological Organization said that 2025 was 1.43 °C above the pre-industrial baseline. A warmer planet means less ice – and our glaciers are one of the more visible signs of a warming climate.
“Glaciers are an important part of New Zealand’s environment, economy and identity – they underpin tourism, deliver meltwater carrying nutrients into rivers and lakes, and feed the hydroelectric lakes that power much of our renewable electricity,” says Dr Lorrey.
“Years like this are few and far between, and when they happen it isn’t enough to reverse the damage that’s been done in the years prior. To limit the continued trend of glacier decline, climate warming needs to be halted quickly.”

Universities – Almost half of university students experiencing food insecurity – UoA

Source: University of Auckland – UoA

New research finds high levels of student food insecurity with living away from home the main driver.

Almost half of university students are experiencing food insecurity, with those living away from the family home and struggling financially at greatest risk, according to new research.
 
The study, led by Waipapa Taumata Rau, University of Auckland researchers, is the first to quantify food insecurity among university students in New Zealand. It found that 45 percent of surveyed students were food insecure – meaning they lacked reliable access to enough affordable, nutritious and appropriate food. See Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand. (ref. https://rsnz.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/snz2.70031 )

“The study is timely, because we are seeing in the media that students are having a tough time with the cost-of-living crisis,” says lead researcher Dr Berit Follong, a research fellow in population health in the Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences.

The findings from the University of Auckland student population are in line with similar recent studies in the United States and Australia.

Food insecurity was significantly more common among students living away from home, compared with those living at home with parents or family.  
 
Students who described their finances as ‘borderline’ or ‘not secure at all’ were also far more likely to struggle to meet their basic food needs.

“Many students are juggling high living costs, limited income and study demands. For some , food is where they make compromises,” says Dr Follong.

Cost and time are major barriers
The research surveyed 347 University of Auckland students using an internationally validated food security questionnaire.  
 
Most food-insecure students (80 percent) said the cost of food was a frequent barrier to eating well, while lack of time to shop for and prepare food was also a major challenge.

To cope, students commonly reported buying the cheapest available food, saving food for later or reducing meal size. Use of food banks and other food relief services was relatively low.

Previous international research has linked food insecurity among students to lower grades and poorer mental health and well-being.

Students living away from home were around three times more likely than students living at home to be struggling to get enough nutritious and safe food.

Of students who reported they were eating well, three-quarters (76 percent) were living at home.

“Living in the parental environment acts as a kind of safety net, likely for financial reasons but also because food is simply more available compared with living away from home,” says Dr Follong.

While many students expressed interest in practical support – such as advice on cooking low-cost healthy meals and budgeting living expenses – awareness of existing university food relief and support initiatives was low.

Only around one in four students said they were aware of food-related support available through the University, and just half of those had used it.

“This suggests there is an opportunity to improve how support is communicated and to design solutions that better reflect students’ realities,” says co-researcher Professor Cliona Ni Mhurchu, Professor of Population Nutrition in the Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences.

The researchers call for nonstigmatising approaches that address both financial pressures and the practical barriers students face.

“There is a critical need for support to address student food insecurity, in particular for those who move away from home to attend university,” Professor Ni Mhurchu says.

“Our findings highlight the need for multi-level solutions – from better information and education, through to financial policies that recognise students’ cost-of-living pressures,” she says.

The study was conducted in 2024 and involved students across all faculties and years of study.

The authors note that further research across other New Zealand universities is needed to
understand the national picture.

Fonterra completes sale of Mainland Group to Lactalis

Source: Fonterra
 
Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd has today completed the sale of its global consumer and associated businesses, Mainland Group, to Lactalis.
 
Chairman Peter McBride says the completion of the sale is a significant milestone which sets the Co-op up for the future.  
 
“With the divestment complete, Fonterra can return capital to its owners and focus on growing further through its core business as a New Zealand farmer-owned global B2B dairy provider,” says Mr McBride.
 
CEO Miles Hurrell says “through our high performing Ingredients and Foodservice businesses, we sell innovative dairy products to customers globally under our NZMP and Anchor Food Professionals brands.
 
“We can now focus our resources, R&D spend, and farmers’ capital on continuing to grow these businesses, which generate the greatest return for farmers’ milk.
 
“The completion of the sale also signals the start of our long-term partnership with Lactalis. Lactalis becomes one of our most significant Ingredients customers, as we continue to supply milk and other products to the divested businesses,” says Mr Hurrell.
 
Capital return payment
 
As previously advised, Fonterra will return $3.2 billion of divestment proceeds to farmer shareholders and unit holders via a $2.00 per share capital return.
 
Fonterra can now confirm the record date for being eligible for the capital return is 5.00 pm on 9 April 2026 and the payment date is 14 April 2026.
 
As is standard practice, the NZX has approved a three-day administrative trading halt in respect of Fonterra's shares and Fonterra Shareholders’ Fund units listed on the NZX Main Board.
 
The trading halt will apply from market open on 8 April 2026 through until the close of trading on 10 April 2026. This is to ensure all trades have settled before the record date and to allow time to update Fonterra's share register.
 
Financial outlook
 
Fonterra’s FY26 earnings guidance for continuing operations remains unchanged at 50-65 cents per share.
 
Fonterra continues to target earnings to return to FY25 levels by FY28, offsetting the Mainland Group divestment, through focused execution of its strategy.
 
Notes:

The sale comprises:

Fonterra’s global Consumer business and Consumer brands, excluding the consumer business in Greater China where Fonterra will continue to own the Anchor brand;
The integrated Foodservice and Ingredients business in Oceania;
The integrated Foodservice business in Sri Lanka;
The Middle East and Africa Foodservice business.

The product supply agreements between Fonterra and Lactalis are:

Raw Milk Supply Agreement – Fonterra to supply raw milk to Lactalis for a minimum term of 10 years, with automatic renewal until terminated.
Global Supply Agreement – Fonterra to supply ingredients and other products (e.g. bulk cheese) to Lactalis for a minimum period of 6 years, with automatic renewal until terminated.

 
About Fonterra  

Fonterra is a dairy co-operative owned and supplied by thousands of farming families across Aotearoa New Zealand. As a global B2B dairy provider, we go to market through our global Ingredients brand NZMP and global Foodservice brand Anchor Food Professionals, sharing our high-quality products valued for our dairy innovation and science expertise and New Zealand provenance with customers in more than 100 countries around the world. Sustainability is at the heart of everything we do, and we’re committed to taking great care with every drop of milk, from farm through to customer. We are passionate about supporting our communities by Doing Good Together.  

Health – Drug checking service continues to grow

Source: NZ Drug Foundation Te Puna Whakaiti Pāmamae Kai Whakapiri

The NZ Drug Foundation Te Puna Whakaiti Pāmamae Kai Whakapiri says it is crucial drug checking services continue to reach new people as drug use grows and diversifies.

The charity, one of three licenced public drug checking providers, released its annual drug checking report today showing 12% growth in samples tested at its public clinics, with 42% of clients saying it was their first time visiting a drug checking clinic.

The Foundation’s Executive Director Sarah Helm says that drug checking is a vital harm reduction initiative and is especially important in light of surging consumption.

“With a growing and more volatile drug market, drug checking is one of the key tools we have to prevent harm,” she says. “Drug checking is still relatively young as a service, and the fact that more than 40% of clients are new to the service shows that there is still a lot of demand and room for growth.”

“Drug checking saves lives. Clients who visit the service get valuable information about what is in their drugs and how they can stay safer, and through New Zealand’s early warning system High Alert we’re able to tell the wider community when we find anything concerning.”

“12% of the samples we checked were not what people expected – that’s hundreds of people who were able to avoid harmful effects, hospitalisation or even overdose because they visited our service.”

The service saw a significant increase in cocaine, steroids and other performance and image enhancing substances (PIEDS), medicines, and etomidate brought in for testing in 2025, which Helm says is in line with trends in the drug market.

“One great thing about having a free, legal and confidential service like this is we can pick up and respond to changes in the market. The increase in the likes of PIEDS and etomidate has led to us developing a lot more harm reduction information for those substances.”

Notes:

View and download a copy of the report on the NZ Drug Foundation website: https://drugfoundation.org.nz/news-and-reports/report-what-we-saw-at-drug-checking-in-2025
The NZ Drug Foundation is one of three licenced drug checking providers running public clinics, alongside DISC Trust and KnowYourStuffNZ. The report only covers samples tested by the Foundation
NZ Drug Foundation runs drug checking 11am-3pm weekdays out of its Auckland office at 272A Richmond Rd, Grey Lynn, alongside other regular pop-up clinics and festivals.
People can find their nearest drug checking clinic on The Level: https://thelevel.org.nz/drug-checking-clinics

Tech – LONG-TERM, BIPARTISAN TECH POLICIES NEEDED FOR NZ TO REALISE GROWTH POTENTIAL

Source: Tech New Zealand

New Zealand’s $24 billion technology sector is calling on policymakers to put aside political differences and commit to a long-term, bipartisan strategy to secure the country’s economic future.

Launching the Tech New Zealand 2026 election manifesto, CEO Graeme Muller warns that New Zealand’s prosperity is at risk without decisive action.

“Our productivity is lagging, our talent is departing, and our infrastructure deficit is growing,” says Muller. “Technology is the catalyst that can transform our economy.  It underpins future prosperity and global competitiveness – from agriculture and manufacturing to health and education.”

“New Zealanders deserve a clear, ambitious vision that captures opportunities while managing risk. That requires long-term thinking with genuine cross-party collaboration.”  

Tech New Zealand represents more than 2,500 member organisations employing 10 percent of the country’s workforce across agritech, AI, biotech, blockchain, education, fintech and other industries. Its 2026 election manifesto, released today, outlines a comprehensive set of policy recommendations, based on four long-term foundations to help Aotearoa leverage the benefits of technology.

“We need world-class local digital infrastructure, abundant and affordable clean energy, a consistent and attractive investment ecosystem, and strong global connections and export excellence,” says Muller.    

The manifesto contains many specific policy proposals that support these goals, including:  

– Provide every adult New Zealander with access to free, globally-benchmarked training in practical AI skills like they now do in the UK.
– Direct the NZ Super Fund to allocate more late-stage capital into local tech firms, helping them to retain head offices and staff in New Zealand as our biggest tech firms go global.

– Increase investment in cybersecurity to combat the $1.6 billion lost to cybercrime annually.

– Accelerate deployment of renewable energy and use this to attract energy-intensive industries – such as data centres, supercomputing and advanced food processing – powered by clean energy to drive low-carbonexports.

– Invest in digital inclusion initiatives to ensure all New Zealanders can access, adopt and benefit from public digital infrastructure.  

– Establish a streamlined pathway for precision-bred, gene-edited plants and animals, distinct from existing GMO rules to safely lift our primary sector exports.

“Smarter use of technology will lift productivity, drive sustainable growth and create high-value jobs,” says Muller.

“We have a strong base, with the tech sector contributing $24 billion to GDP – around 8%. Now is the time to unlock its full potential.”

The complete manifesto can be found at https://technewzealand.org.nz/reports/tech-new-zealand-tech-innovation-manifesto-2026/

Fire Safety – Parts of Nelson-Marlborough moving to restricted fire season

Source: Fire and Emergency New Zealand

Fire and Emergency New Zealand is declaring a restricted fire season in the Coastal, Waimea and Lake Rotoiti zones of the Nelson-Marlborough District, from 8am on Tuesday 31 March until further notice.
The Coastal, Waimea and Lake Rotoiti zones extend from and include Abel Tasman National Park, Nelson Lakes National Park, Kahurangi National Park (east of the Mt Arthur Range), Richmond Ranges and all the areas of the Waimea Plains and urban settlements.
During a restricted fire season, people wanting to light outdoor fires must apply to Fire and Emergency for a permit and have it approved.
District Commander Grant Haywood says increased rainfall has allowed the District to move these areas from a prohibited fire season to a restricted fire season.
“We had a good few days of regular rain last week which has decreased the risk of fires starting and spreading quickly.
“While the risk has reduced, it doesn’t take much for the vegetation to dry up again.
“Everyone planning an outdoor fire must go to www.checkitsalright.nz to check the conditions are safe to light.
“You can also access safety tips and guidelines for your fire on this website. Please follow these and help us keep our District protected from wildfires,” Grant Haywood says.

Business leaders quantify major sustainable growth opportunity for New Zealand economy

Source: Sustainable Business Council

New Zealand could boost its economy by more than $22 billion per year by 2035, while strengthening productivity, energy security, and long-term resilience, according to a major new business-led report released today.
The report, Driving Sustainable Growth: Opportunities for New Zealand’s Economy, commissioned by the Sustainable Business Council (SBC) and Climate Leaders Coalition (CLC) finds that a focused shift toward an innovation-driven, productivity-led economy, underpinned by affordable and plentiful renewable energy and stable policy settings, could deliver an estimated $22 billion increase in GDP per year by 2035, rising to more than $33 billion per year by 2050, compared to an economy that only relies on the current carbon price path.
At the same time, the findings show pursuing this sustainable growth pathway would reduce national emissions by an additional 6% per year by 2035 and 22% per year by 2050 compared to the same scenario.
SBC Chief Executive Mike Burrell says the report challenges often held assumptions that sustainable economic growth and emissions reduction are competing priorities.
“What this research clearly shows is that the same action that is needed to lift New Zealand’s lagging productivity in the form of electrification, digital technology, innovation, and efficient and abundant renewable energy, is also exactly what is needed to strengthen our international competitiveness, increase our resilience, and reduce our emissions as a country.”
“For New Zealanders this is not just abstract GDP growth, it's an opportunity that translates into higher living standards over time, more resilient jobs and industries, and lower exposure to volatile energy prices.”
“But critically it’s coupled with a key insight that the binding constraint is not a lack of technology, ambition or investment appetite, it is policy coherence and certainty over the medium term that is necessary to achieve economy-wide change,” says Mr Burrell
SBC and CLC acknowledge the report comes amid ongoing global uncertainty, including energy market volatility caused by the conflict in the Middle East, cost-of-living pressures, and increasing severe weather and climate related disruption.
“It’s during periods of uncertainty that countries taking a disciplined, long-term approach to economic foundations tend to emerge stronger. Against this current challenging context, we believe it is more important than ever to be focusing on our long term growth and resilience as a country,” says Mr Burrell.
Climate Leaders Coalition Convenor and Genesis Energy CEO Malcolm Johns says the opportunity identified in the report goes beyond near-term gains.
“The economic opportunity before us is not about small improvements on the margins, it is about a legacy New Zealand can leave for future generations,” says Mr Johns.
“We have a genuine opportunity to build an economy that is more productive, more resilient and better positioned for all New Zealanders, present and future, while simultaneously contributing to one of the biggest challenges of our time – climate change. Realising the opportunity before us requires ambition, collaboration and a shared long-term vision.”
The report outlines a set of 10 key recommendations for joint action by business and government, focused on:
– providing clear, enduring signals for New Zealand’s future energy system,
– accelerating electrification and digital uptake across key sectors,
– supporting the scale-up and commercialisation of innovation, and
– strengthening market-based incentives that reward productivity-enhancing investment.
Importantly, the recommendations build on strategies and evidence already in place across successive governments and are focused on the first phase of the opportunity before us, setting a foundation for sustainable growth and greater resilience over coming decades.
Mr Burrell says the report shows the task now is not further diagnosis, but action.
“We must commit to a long-term horizon coupled with medium-term action, while maintaining a shared and enduring focus across all the portfolios necessary for economic growth.”
“Doing so will not only unlock a materially significant economic prize but will help us bend our emissions curve even further – a win win for New Zealand.”
The findings of the report are based on economic modelling, international evidence and case study analysis. They reflect the views of more than 150 of New Zealand’s leading businesses, collectively representing more than 45% of private sector GDP.
Sapere and Beca contributed specialist technical advice and modelling expertise, which formed the analytical foundations of the report.
A copy of the Executive Summary of the report can be found  herehttps://sbc.org.nz/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/WEB_SBC-CLC-Executive-Summary_FINAL.pdf

Property Market – Property Sector Set for Billion-Dollar Expansion as Primary Exports Surge

Source: Impact PR for Calder Stewart

Hundreds of millions of dollars of investment is set to be injected into large-scale industrial property developments as sustained growth in the country's primary export industries drives demand for logistics facilities, cold storage and distribution infrastructure, according to new figures.

Latest Ministry for Primary Industries forecasts show food and fibre export revenue is expected to reach $62 billion in the year to 30 June 2026, up roughly 3 percent on the previous year and around 16 percent higher than two years ago.1

Growth in dairy, meat, forestry and horticulture is driving the lift, with higher export volumes putting pressure on warehousing, temperature-controlled storage and national freight networks.

Ben Stewart, director of property for Calder Stewart, the country's largest industrial property and construction company, says if the pipeline of projects across the country in their current forward development programme is confirmed, their volume of upcoming work could easily double over the next three to five years, as export-driven supply chain demand accelerates.

He says over the past three years the company has delivered property projects worth more than $1.5 billion, including over 750,000 square metres of industrial buildings nationwide.

“When primary production is strong, the entire food supply chain needs staging, temperature-controlled storage and distribution capability. Cold storage is one of the most active areas of investment, particularly off the back of dairy and meat export growth.”

Stewart says while Calder Stewart's property development programme spans both islands, Auckland is seeing strong demand not only from exporters but also from major retail and trade suppliers upgrading and consolidating their distribution networks.

He says NZ Safety Blackwoods' new automated distribution centre at Drury South Crossing, developed by Calder Stewart, is an example of that market segment.

The 18,000 square metre facility brings together four North Island operations into a single high-capacity hub and integrates robotic storage and retrieval systems designed to improve throughput and accuracy.

NZ Safety Blackwoods, owned by Australian-listed Wesfarmers, supplies safety equipment, engineering consumables and industrial products to construction, manufacturing and infrastructure operators nationwide.

Stewart says the project also reflects broader structural changes across industrial construction.

“We're seeing smaller distribution sites consolidated into larger, centralised hubs. At the same time, businesses are investing more heavily in automation and focusing on efficiency and resilience.”

He says industry facilities of this scale form a critical layer of retail and distribution infrastructure supporting the construction economy.

“Construction sites rely on consistent access to safety equipment and essential consumables. When supply chains work well, productivity improves across the sector.”

Stewart says by combining automation and consolidation, the Drury hub strengthens the country's responsiveness to large infrastructure and commercial building programmes.

He says the asset, which Calder Stewart sold for $66.5 million to FortHill Property in late 2024, is expected to be revalued closer to $70 million following its first valuation cycle, highlighting continued investor appetite for modern industrial property tied to essential economic activity.

“This is one of the largest industrial expansions in New Zealand. When companies commit capital at this level, particularly into automation, it reflects long-term confidence in demand and in the strength of the construction pipeline.”

Stewart says land availability is another major factor influencing development decisions, particularly in Auckland's established logistics corridors.

“We're seeing consolidation into newer, larger facilities as occupiers look to improve inventory management and operate more efficiently. Automation is increasing storage density and speeding up fulfilment, and that is reshaping how warehouses are designed.”

“With limited green field sites coming online in strategic locations, opportunities to secure scale do not arise frequently and when they become available, businesses tend to act quickly.”

Stewart says those constraints are contributing to taller, more technologically advanced facilities, with high-bay and ultra high-bay warehouses allowing occupiers to operate vertically rather than expand outward.

“With land scarce, building up makes sense because automation allows higher-density storage while maintaining efficiency.”

Stewart says Calder Stewart now employs more than 500 people nationally and, if activity continues at the projected level, it could see workforce growth of up to 15 to 20 percent over time as property development, construction and energy capability expands.

He says large industrial builds also engage hundreds of subcontractors and specialist trades at peak construction, supporting broader regional employment.

“A lift of that scale would equate to roughly 75 to 100 additional roles across the country, spanning project management, engineering, construction and support functions,” he says.

Stewart says the company holds roughly 900 hectares of industrial-zoned land nationwide, providing capacity to respond as occupier demand emerges.

He says further major developments are planned across Auckland and the South Island over the next two years, alongside long-term industrial projects including Awarua Quadrant and Milburn Quadrant, aimed at strengthening freight connectivity and integrating renewable energy capability.

“These are long-term infrastructure decisions, and when businesses commit to facilities of this scale they are backing sustained economic activity that can also help attract other large players into the market.”

1 Ministry for Primary Industries (2025). Situation and Outlook for Primary Industries, June 2025. Wellington: MPI.

Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections: 2023(base)–2053 – third instalment – Stats NZ information release

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections: 2023(base)–2053 – third instalment – information release

31 March 2026

Statistical area 2 (SA2) and statistical area 3 (SA3) population projections released in Aotearoa Data Explorer (ADE) provide an indication of future changes in the size and age-sex structure of the population usually living in each area.

About this release
This is the third instalment of the statistical area 2 (SA2) and statistical area 3 (SA3) population projections. This release includes SA2 and SA3 areas for the following territorial authority areas:

  • Hauraki district
  • Central Hawke’s Bay district
  • Carterton district
  • Nelson city
  • Kaikōura district
  • Westland district
  • Gore district.

Visit our website to read the full information release: