Source: Fire and Emergency New Zealand
Business leaders quantify major sustainable growth opportunity for New Zealand economy
Source: Sustainable Business Council
Property Market – Property Sector Set for Billion-Dollar Expansion as Primary Exports Surge
Hundreds of millions of dollars of investment is set to be injected into large-scale industrial property developments as sustained growth in the country's primary export industries drives demand for logistics facilities, cold storage and distribution infrastructure, according to new figures.
Latest Ministry for Primary Industries forecasts show food and fibre export revenue is expected to reach $62 billion in the year to 30 June 2026, up roughly 3 percent on the previous year and around 16 percent higher than two years ago.1
Growth in dairy, meat, forestry and horticulture is driving the lift, with higher export volumes putting pressure on warehousing, temperature-controlled storage and national freight networks.
Ben Stewart, director of property for Calder Stewart, the country's largest industrial property and construction company, says if the pipeline of projects across the country in their current forward development programme is confirmed, their volume of upcoming work could easily double over the next three to five years, as export-driven supply chain demand accelerates.
He says over the past three years the company has delivered property projects worth more than $1.5 billion, including over 750,000 square metres of industrial buildings nationwide.
“When primary production is strong, the entire food supply chain needs staging, temperature-controlled storage and distribution capability. Cold storage is one of the most active areas of investment, particularly off the back of dairy and meat export growth.”
Stewart says while Calder Stewart's property development programme spans both islands, Auckland is seeing strong demand not only from exporters but also from major retail and trade suppliers upgrading and consolidating their distribution networks.
He says NZ Safety Blackwoods' new automated distribution centre at Drury South Crossing, developed by Calder Stewart, is an example of that market segment.
The 18,000 square metre facility brings together four North Island operations into a single high-capacity hub and integrates robotic storage and retrieval systems designed to improve throughput and accuracy.
NZ Safety Blackwoods, owned by Australian-listed Wesfarmers, supplies safety equipment, engineering consumables and industrial products to construction, manufacturing and infrastructure operators nationwide.
Stewart says the project also reflects broader structural changes across industrial construction.
“We're seeing smaller distribution sites consolidated into larger, centralised hubs. At the same time, businesses are investing more heavily in automation and focusing on efficiency and resilience.”
He says industry facilities of this scale form a critical layer of retail and distribution infrastructure supporting the construction economy.
“Construction sites rely on consistent access to safety equipment and essential consumables. When supply chains work well, productivity improves across the sector.”
Stewart says by combining automation and consolidation, the Drury hub strengthens the country's responsiveness to large infrastructure and commercial building programmes.
He says the asset, which Calder Stewart sold for $66.5 million to FortHill Property in late 2024, is expected to be revalued closer to $70 million following its first valuation cycle, highlighting continued investor appetite for modern industrial property tied to essential economic activity.
“This is one of the largest industrial expansions in New Zealand. When companies commit capital at this level, particularly into automation, it reflects long-term confidence in demand and in the strength of the construction pipeline.”
Stewart says land availability is another major factor influencing development decisions, particularly in Auckland's established logistics corridors.
“We're seeing consolidation into newer, larger facilities as occupiers look to improve inventory management and operate more efficiently. Automation is increasing storage density and speeding up fulfilment, and that is reshaping how warehouses are designed.”
“With limited green field sites coming online in strategic locations, opportunities to secure scale do not arise frequently and when they become available, businesses tend to act quickly.”
Stewart says those constraints are contributing to taller, more technologically advanced facilities, with high-bay and ultra high-bay warehouses allowing occupiers to operate vertically rather than expand outward.
“With land scarce, building up makes sense because automation allows higher-density storage while maintaining efficiency.”
Stewart says Calder Stewart now employs more than 500 people nationally and, if activity continues at the projected level, it could see workforce growth of up to 15 to 20 percent over time as property development, construction and energy capability expands.
He says large industrial builds also engage hundreds of subcontractors and specialist trades at peak construction, supporting broader regional employment.
“A lift of that scale would equate to roughly 75 to 100 additional roles across the country, spanning project management, engineering, construction and support functions,” he says.
Stewart says the company holds roughly 900 hectares of industrial-zoned land nationwide, providing capacity to respond as occupier demand emerges.
He says further major developments are planned across Auckland and the South Island over the next two years, alongside long-term industrial projects including Awarua Quadrant and Milburn Quadrant, aimed at strengthening freight connectivity and integrating renewable energy capability.
“These are long-term infrastructure decisions, and when businesses commit to facilities of this scale they are backing sustained economic activity that can also help attract other large players into the market.”
1 Ministry for Primary Industries (2025). Situation and Outlook for Primary Industries, June 2025. Wellington: MPI.
Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections: 2023(base)–2053 – third instalment – Stats NZ information release
Source: Statistics New Zealand
Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections: 2023(base)–2053 – third instalment – information release
31 March 2026
Statistical area 2 (SA2) and statistical area 3 (SA3) population projections released in Aotearoa Data Explorer (ADE) provide an indication of future changes in the size and age-sex structure of the population usually living in each area.
About this release
This is the third instalment of the statistical area 2 (SA2) and statistical area 3 (SA3) population projections. This release includes SA2 and SA3 areas for the following territorial authority areas:
- Hauraki district
- Central Hawke’s Bay district
- Carterton district
- Nelson city
- Kaikōura district
- Westland district
- Gore district.
Visit our website to read the full information release:
Reminder – Feedback on proposed changes to HLFS income data closes soon
Source: Statistics New Zealand
Reminder – Feedback on proposed changes to Household Labour Force Survey income data closes soon
31 March 2026
We want your feedback on whether administrative (admin) data could be used to create viable replacements for Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS) income measures.
Feedback closes at 5pm on Wednesday, 15 April 2026.
Proposed changes to Household Labour Force Survey income data
As part of our efforts to meet customer needs, and drive better decisions and services, Stats NZ is increasing and improving our use of data gathered by other government agencies during their routine business or services (known as administrative or admin data).
We have produced a technical paper investigating whether admin data could be used to replace income measures in the Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS).
We are seeking feedback on how you currently use HLFS income data, and whether linked HLFS and admin income data would continue to, or better meet, your needs.
Please share your feedback now, or email <a href=”mailto:labourmarketqueries@stats.govt.nz?subject=Proposed%20changes%20to%20Household%20Labour%20Force%20Survey%20income%20data” title=”labourmarketqueries@stats.govt.nz” style=”color:#0F00F0;text-decoration:underline;”>labourmarketqueries@stats.govt.nz if you have any questions.
Your input will help inform our work and ensure the data we produce on income measures continues to meet the needs of Aotearoa New Zealand.
We will publish a summary of the feedback we receive and will continue to share updates about this work as it progresses.
We look forward to hearing from you.
Banking – ASB Quarterly Economic Forecast: Not Strait Forward
Economic outlook has been upended again, with ASB economists expecting a prolonged period of higher oil prices through much of 2026 following the Middle East conflict and disruption through the Strait of Hormuz.
ASB Economists have lowered their 2026 annual GDP growth forecast by 1.6 percentage points, with higher fuel costs expected to weigh on consumer spending, tourism and business investment.
Inflation is expected to rise again in the near term, peaking around 4% by mid‑2026, presenting a challenging balancing act for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
The outlook for the global economy has been upended again and uncertainty has intensified, with tensions in the Middle East disrupting oil supplies, pushing energy prices substantially higher and creating fresh challenges for New Zealand’s economy, according to ASB’s latest Quarterly Economic Forecast.
ASB’s Chief Economist Nick Tuffley says the effective closure of the oil‑critical Strait of Hormuz, a key transit route for 20% of global oil supplies, has triggered significant upward cost pressure that we are already seeing flowing through to fuel prices, which will send inflation higher over the coming year and weigh on spending across the economy.
“Households were only just starting to feel some relief,” says Nick. “Higher fuel prices are now squeezing budgets again, and that pressure will be felt right across the economy.
“We import all of our refined fuel, so sustained increases in oil prices quickly feed into higher transport costs, higher inflation and weaker household spending.” He adds, “Unfortunately, New Zealand is vulnerable to this disruption.
“Prior to the oil shock, New Zealand was positioned for a modest recovery over 2026, supported by lower interest rates, easing cost-of-living pressures and signs of improvement in the labour market. With the new headwinds of higher fuel prices and potential fuel scarcity, that recovery is now unlikely to take place until 2027.”
ASB Economists have revised down their 2026 December annual GDP growth forecast by 1.6 percentage points. Economic output is expected to contract in the June quarter as higher fuel prices weigh on consumer spending, disrupt tourism and lower business investment.
Inflation pressures are also set to re‑emerge. ASB expects higher fuel, freight, and airfares to push annual inflation up to around 4% by mid-2026, before easing back below 3% in 2027 as energy prices stabilise and domestic demand remains muted.
The renewed inflation risk also complicates the Reserve Bank’s outlook, with the Official Cash Rate expected to remain on hold for now, but with rising risks of an earlier tightening cycle if inflation pressures become more persistent and inflation expectations creep higher.
“The RBNZ has reaffirmed it will focus on the medium-term impacts on inflation, not the more immediate impacts,” says Tuffley. “In time, the OCR is still likely to go up, but we don’t see the RBNZ rushing.”
Despite the challenging outlook, ASB economists note some silver linings. The dairy sector remains a bright spot, supported by strong global prices and the flow‑through of the payout from Fonterra’s Mainland Group divestment, while the tourism sector was supporting growth prior to the oil shock.
Nick notes, “This is a time for contingency and scenario planning rather than reliance on any single forecast. If the conflict eases sooner than expected, the outlook would improve quickly. But for now, households and businesses need to be prepared for a tougher, more uncertain period.”
The latest ASB Quarterly Economic Forecast, along with other recent ASB reports covering a range of commentary, can be accessed at the ASB Economic Insights page: https://www.asb.co.nz/documents/economic-insights.html
Employment and Law – Home support workers unlawfully forced to subsidise work with their own cars – PSA takes legal action
Source: PSA
Employment indicators: February 2026 – Stats NZ information release
Health – AI, medical ethics and the future of surgery on the agenda as major surgical conference heads to Perth
The southern hemisphere’s largest multidisciplinary surgical meeting will return in 2026 when the Royal Australasian College of Surgeons (RACS) brings its 94th Annual Scientific Congress (ASC) to the Perth Convention and Exhibition Centre from Thursday 30 April to Sunday 3 May.
Surgeons, Trainees, researchers and healthcare leaders from across Australia, Aotearoa New Zealand and the world will gather to explore this year’s theme, The art and science of collaboration.
Highlights of the program include keynote sessions exploring global health ethics, the future of artificial intelligence in medicine, and the evolving professional and ethical challenges facing modern healthcare.
- Professor Annie Sparrow, internationally recognised paediatric intensivist and global health expert, will deliver The politics of professionalism. This plenary will draw on Professor Sparrow’s decades of frontline work in conflict and humanitarian settings to explore the weaponisation of healthcare in war.
- Dr Jordan Nguyen, engineer, inventor and biomedical innovator, will explore the transformative potential of artificial intelligence and emerging medical technologies in his plenary, asking: I’m a surgeon: will I still have a job in 10 years?
- Chelsea Gordon, a legal and strategic advisor to hospitals, government and private healthcare providers, will join Dr Nguyen, discussing how AI is being implemented safely and responsibly in highly regulated sectors such as healthcare.
- Dr Mohit Bhandari (India), leading bariatric and robotic surgeon and president of IRCAD India, will be explore = how advances in robotics and digital connectivity are rapidly reshaping the way surgeons operate, collaborate and teach in Across oceans – at the console: the reality of telerobotic surgery.
The Congress will also feature an impressive lineup of local and international speakers, including:
Professor Nehmatt Houssami (Sydney, Australia) – on the latest updates and suggested guidelines to refine our National Breast Screen Program
Conjoint Professor Carolyn Hullick FACEM – (NSW, Australia) – on improving emergency care for older patients
Professor Joon Pio Hong (Seoul, South Korea) – on reconstructive microsurgery, wound healing and supermicrosurgery innovations
Professor Matteo Rottoli (Bologna, Italy) – on minimally invasive and robotic colorectal surgery
Dr Anna Ibele (Utah, USA) – on the impact of obesity and bariatric surgery on cancer risk
Lt. Col Steven Jeffery (Birmingham, UK) – on burns and plastic surgery in austere and military environments
Dr Anjay Khandelwal (Ohio, USA) – on advances in burn surgery, reconstructive techniques and global burn care
The RACS Annual Scientific Conference is the College’s flagship educational event and is recognised as one of the most significant surgical meetings in the region. It showcases the latest in surgical research, emerging technologies and advances in patient care, while providing a forum for collaboration across nine surgical specialties, plus a host of subspecialties and interest groups.
ASC Convener Associate Professor Mary Theophilus said this year’s theme reflects the reality that modern surgery hinges on strong partnerships across medicine, science and technology.
“Progress in surgery has always relied on collaboration,” Associate Professor Theophilus said.
“Today that collaboration extends far beyond the operating theatre. It includes sharing knowledge with other disciplines, forging partnerships with researchers and industry, and integrating new technologies like robotics and artificial intelligence into surgical practice.
“ASC 2026 will bring together surgeons and experts from across healthcare to explore how these collaborations are shaping the future of surgical care.”
The Congress will also include the College’s Convocation Ceremony, where newly qualified surgeons are formally welcomed as Fellows of the Royal Australasian College of Surgeons.
“ASC is an opportunity for the surgical community to come together to learn from one another, challenge ideas and strengthen the relationships that ultimately improve patient care,” Associate Professor Theophilus said.
“It is also a chance to showcase the extraordinary work of surgeons across Australia, Aotearoa New Zealand and beyond.”
For more information about the RACS Annual Scientific Congress, visit:
https://asc.surgeons.org
