Research – Construction cost growth rises alongside activity – Cotality

Source: Cotality

Construction costs recorded their largest quarterly increase in over a year during the three months to December, as early signs of a sector recovery begin to emerge.

The latest Cordell Construction Cost Index (CCCI) shows residential building costs increased by 0.9% in the three months to December. (ref. https://www.cotality.com/nz/resources/downloads/cordell-construction-cost-index-ccci )

While this represents the largest quarterly rise since Q3 2024 (1.1%), the figure remains slightly below the long-term average of 1.0%.

On the back of this quarterly lift, the annual pace of growth rose to 2.3% from 2.0% in the third quarter last year. That’s still well below the long-term average, which has been an annual growth rate of 4.1% since late 2012.
Cotality Chief Property Economist Kelvin Davidson said while construction costs continue to increase, the pace of growth remains contained.
“We are certainly not seeing the extreme inflation experienced in the post-COVID phase, when the CCCI annual growth rate peaked at more than 10% in late 2022. During that period, there were supply chain issues for key materials such as plasterboard and rising wages also drove up costs significantly*.

“However, although they’re not rising to any huge degree at present, costs haven’t seen significant falls either. Following the previous growth phase, the overall level of cost to build a new dwelling remains elevated even though the growth rate has cooled,” he said.

A turnaround in dwelling approvals

Recently, the 12-month rolling total for the number of new dwelling consents has started to rise again, reaching more than 35,500 in October.

Mr Davidson said this marks a turnaround following the period of stagnation (albeit at a high level) observed throughout late 2024 and the first half of 2025.

“After peaking at more than 51,000 in the 12 months to May 2022, the number of new dwellings consented dropped to a low point between 33,500 and 34,000. We are now seeing a recovery that aligns with anecdotal evidence that builders are becoming busier again.

“This shift reflects lower mortgage rates and increased ability for households to finance projects or buy off-the-plan. The loan-to-value ratio and debt-to-income ratio rules both offer exemptions for new builds, providing a further tailwind for the sector,” he noted.

Construction sector positioned for recovery in 2026

Looking ahead, the construction sector is set to expand again in 2026, and Mr Davidson said the previous downturn has allowed building costs to flatten after a period of strong increases.  

“The latest CCCI figures remain relatively controlled, although as the industry starts to recover more clearly in 2026, construction cost growth could pick up again. However, a spike similar to the post-COVID phase remains unlikely,” he concluded.

* The CCCI is comprised of around 50% materials, 40% wages, and 10% for other charges such as professional fees.

New home consents rise, led by multi-unit homes – Building consents issued: November 2025 – Stats NZ news story and information release

Source: Statistics New Zealand

New home consents rise, led by multi-unit homes – news story

 

14 January 2026

There were 35,969 new homes consented in Aotearoa New Zealand in the year ended November 2025, up 7.0 percent compared with the year ended November 2024, according to figures released by Stats NZ today.

“In the year to November 2025 multi-unit homes drove the increase in new homes consented,” economic indicators spokesperson Michelle Feyen said. “That’s reflected in the number of townhouses, flats, and units being consented.”

Of the multi-unit homes consented in the year ended November 2025, compared with the year ended November 2024, there were:

  • 15,643 townhouses, flats, and units (up 9.6 percent)
  • 2,647 apartments (up 49 percent)
  • 1,291 retirement village units (down 26 percent).

Visit our website to read the full news story and information release and to download CSV files:

 

Employment indicators: November 2025 – Stats NZ information release

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Employment indicators: November 2025 – information release

14 January 2026

Employment indicators provide an early indication of changes in the labour market.

Key facts
Changes in the seasonally adjusted filled jobs for the November 2025 month (compared with the October 2025 month) were:

  • all industries – up 0.3 percent (6,569 jobs) to 2.35 million filled jobs
  • primary industries – up 0.8 percent (890 jobs)
  • goods-producing industries – up 0.1 percent (490 jobs)
  • service industries – up 0.2 percent (4,124 jobs).

Visit our website to read the full information release and to download CSV files:

Events – Firefighters put skills to the test at UFBA Waterway Challenge in Havelock North

Source: United Fire Brigades' Association

The skill, speed and teamwork of some of New Zealand’s volunteer firefighters will be on full display when the UFBA North Island Waterway Challenge 2026 comes to the Village Green in Havelock North on Saturday 17 January 2026.
Hosted by the United Fire Brigades’ Association (UFBA), the North Island Waterway Challenge brings together volunteer and career firefighters from across the region to compete in a fast-paced, highly technical firefighting competition. The event is free to attend and promises an exciting day out for the whole community.
The UFBA Waterway Challenge tests the real-world skills firefighters rely on every day – including hose handling, pump operation, teamwork, communication and precision under pressure. Crews race against the clock to complete a demanding course that simulates emergency response scenarios, giving spectators a rare behind-the-scenes look at the professionalism and training required to do the job safely and effectively.
UFBA President, Lesina Walden, says the event is about more than competition.
“This is a fantastic opportunity for the public to see just how skilled our firefighters are. The challenge reflects the training and teamwork that firefighters use when responding to emergencies, particularly building and vegetation fires, in our communities.
It’s also a great chance to celebrate the dedication of these community firefighters.”
Teams from volunteer brigades all over the North Island, including the Havelock North Volunteer Fire Brigade, will be competing – giving the Hawke’s Bay community the chance to cheer on their own firefighters as they go head-to-head with their peers.
The Village Green setting provides an ideal venue, allowing spectators to get close to the action in a safe and family-friendly environment. Organisers encourage locals to bring friends and whānau along, enjoy the atmosphere, and support the firefighters who serve their community.
Event details:
What: UFBA North Island Waterway Challenge 2026
When: Saturday 17 January 2026
Where: Village Green, Havelock North
Cost: Free entry
About the UFBA – for over 140 years the United Fire Brigades’ Association has been the leading association representing firefighters in New Zealand. Today our services support around 14,000 firefighters throughout the fire and emergency services sector by providing advocacy, skills-based challenges, workshops and service honours.

Fire Safety – Restricted fire season for Bay of Plenty

Source: Fire and Emergency New Zealand

Fire and Emergency New Zealand is moving Bay of Plenty to a restricted fire season at 5pm on Tuesday 13 January, until further notice.
A restricted fire season means a permit is required to light an open-air fire.
Announcing the fire season change, Community Risk Manager Luke Burgess says the recent warm and dry weather means the fire risk across the region has increased.
“In these conditions fire will travel fast and will be difficult for our crews to extinguish.
“Having a restricted fire season gives us greater control of who can burn and when, and we can provide direct fire safety advice to those completing burns.”
The public can apply for a permit at www.checkitsalright.nz
Luke Burgess says that although some isolated rain is forecast, it will be predominantly dry, hot and windy which increases the fire danger.
“We are asking the public to take extra care during these conditions.”
For fire safety tips and more information about the activities you can and can’t do in a restricted fire season, go to www.checkitsalright.nz

Economy – Reserve Bank appointments to Financial Policy Committee

Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

13 January 2026 – Following an open recruitment process, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Board has appointed Ms Heidi Richards and Professor Prasanna Gai as external members of the Financial Policy Committee (FPC).

The FPC is a new committee of the RBNZ Board, which will make key policy decisions relating to financial stability, including setting the prudential requirements for financial institutions regulated by the RBNZ, and making macro-prudential policy decisions such as Debt-to-Income and Loan-to-Value ratios for lending.

Ms Richards is a former senior prudential regulator and internationally respected regulatory, risk and compliance leader with experience across private industry, government and not-for-profit sectors in the US, Australia and international policy-making organisations. Ms Richards has a deep understanding of prudential regulation.

Professor Gai is Professor of Macroeconomics and Head of the Departments of Economics, Accounting & Finance, and Property at the University of Auckland. Professor Gai is a leader in the fields of financial stability and monetary policy. He has published extensively on macroprudential policy and systemic risk. Professor Gai served on the Board of the Financial Markets Authority from 2018 until his resignation on 31 December 2025.

“I am pleased with the appointments to the FPC that we are announcing today, and welcome Ms Richards and Professor Gai to the FPC,” said RBNZ Board Chair Rodger Finlay.

“The FPC's work will be crucial to promoting New Zealand's financial stability and the wealth of experience of all the FPC members will enhance and bring focus to RBNZ's financial policymaking.

“I would also like to express my gratitude to all those who expressed their interest in serving as external members of the FPC. Ms Richards and Professor Gai were selected from a strong field of candidates.”

Ms Richards has been appointed for a four-year term from 1 January 2026 to 31 December 2029.

Professor Gai has been appointed for a three-year term from 1 January 2026 to 31 December 2028. In addition to serving on the FPC, Professor Gai will continue his service on the Monetary Policy Committee.

The other members of the FPC are Governor Anna Breman and the following RBNZ non-executive Board members – Byron Pepper (who will chair the FPC), Grant Spencer, and Philip Vermeulen. Rodger Finlay will also serve on the FPC by virtue of his position as RBNZ Board Chair.  

The RBNZ Board has agreed a Charter for the FPC, setting out the operational framework for the FPC to ensure its proper management and functioning. The FPC Charter includes the terms of reference for the FPC.

The first meeting of the FPC is scheduled for late February 2026.

Fire Safety – Fire bans and restrictions across the Top of the South

Source: Fire and Emergency New Zealand

Bans and restrictions on outdoor fires will come into force across most of Marlborough, Nelson and Tasman tomorrow morning.
Fire and Emergency New Zealand is introducing the measures in response to the increasing risk of wildfire. District Manager Grant Haywood says the top of the south is experiencing high fire danger due to the hot and dry weather and has asked the whole community to do their bit to prevent fires.
“Fires will start and spread very easily and will be more challenging for our firefighters to contain and put out in these conditions,” he says. “If anyone sees signs of smoke, please call 111 immediately.”
Permits that have already been issued for open fires in parts of Marlborough that are currently under a Restricted Fire Season will be suspended when the Prohibited season comes into effect there.
Most of Nelson-Tasman and the rest of Marlborough will be covered by Restricted Fire Seasons, so fire permits will be required for almost all outdoor fires. Extreme care must be taken with fires in any areas where fires are still allowed. Go to www.checkitsalright.nz to see what conditions apply to any particular location.
Farmers, orchardists, contractors and forestry managers are being reminded to check the sites of any old fires to make sure they are fully extinguished – raking them out and wetting them down if there is any sign of heat.
Holidaymakers and locals alike also have a part to play in preventing fires, Grant Haywood says.
“Yesterday’s fire in the dunes at Tahunanui Beach showed just how quickly a fire can take hold, and how much damage it can cause. 97 percent of wildfires in New Zealand are caused by humans, and it only takes one spark.”
Activities like welding and grinding should not be carried out near dry vegetation. Even parking a car in long grass can cause a fire if the hot exhaust comes into contact with long grass.
From 8am tomorrow, open fires will be banned in the areas covered by a Prohibited Fire Season. There are some exceptions for cultural cooking fires but the ban includes fireworks. Permits will be required for all open fires in the areas covered by a Restricted Fire Season, including camp fires and bonfires, with some exceptions for cultural cooking fires.
The following fire season changes will come into effect at 8am tomorrow (Wednesday 14 January) until further notice:
Marlborough:
– A Prohibited Fire Season in the Marlborough South zone. This takes in all the land south of the Wairau River including the flat land from the eastern side of SH1 between Tuamarina and Raringi, except the Royal New Zealand Airforce land at Woodbourne.
– A Restricted Fire Season in the Marlborough North Zone, which covers the rest of Marlborough north of the Wairau River.
Nelson and Tasman
– A Restricted Fire Season for the Coastal, Waimea and Nelson North zones. This takes in of the City of Nelson, Richmond, Brightwater, Mapua, Motueka and stretches across to the Mount Arthur range in the west.
Most of the rest of the Tasman District is already in a Restricted Fire Season, which will remain in force, so most of the Top of the South will be covered by restrictions and bans.
Go to www.checkitsalright.nz for full details of the fire season status and what activities are restricted or banned.

University Research – ‘Absolutely huge’ black coral among largest ever seen – VUW

Source: Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington

 

A massive black coral, measuring 4 metres high and 4.5 metres wide, has been found by researchers exploring the underwater depths of Fiordland.

 

The coral, a protected species, is likely to be 300-400 years old and thought to be among the largest ever seen in the waters around Aotearoa New Zealand.

 

Professor James Bell, a marine biologist at Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington, described the coral as “absolutely huge”.

 

“It’s by far the largest black coral I’ve seen in my 25 years as a marine biologist. Most black corals we come across when we’re diving are small, with the bigger ones usually less than two to three metres tall so finding this one was really cool,” he said.

 

The discovery is important as large corals provide vital breeding stock for the species, which is slow to grow.

 

“Pinpointing where large corals occur means we can better protect them by letting people know where not to anchor their boats or drop pots,” Professor Bell said.

 

Richard Kinsey, senior biodiversity ranger at the Department of Conversation, was also on the dive when the coral was discovered. “To see such a large coral looming out of the darkness was pretty special. I’ve been a marine ranger in Fiordland for nearly 20 years and it’s rare to see a coral so big. It’s easily the largest one I can remember seeing,” he said.

 

Victoria University researchers are working with the Department of Conservation and the Fiordland Marine Guardians to study and map the distribution of protected coral species in the fiords.

 

“We’d love to receive reports from anyone who knows of particularly large black corals that are greater than 4 m so we can map their distribution and find out how common such large coral colonies are throughout Fiordland,” said Professor Bell.

 

Despite its name, the black coral appears white in colour and only its skeleton is black. The coral is listed as a protected species under the Wildlife Act and it’s illegal to deliberately collect or damage it.

Dwelling and household estimates: December 2025 quarter – Stats NZ information release

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Dwelling and household estimates: December 2025 quarter – information release

 

13 January 2026

National dwelling and household estimates are used for many purposes including planning, policy formation, business decisions, and as ‘bottom lines’ in the calculation of market coverage rates.

Key facts
At 31 December 2025, the estimated number of:

  • private dwellings is 2,141,200
  • households is 2,057,500.

Visit our website to read the full information release:

Economic snapshot: September 2025 quarter – Stats NZ news story

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Economic snapshot: September 2025 quarter – news story

13 January 2026

Our economic snapshot summarises important economic statistics for the September 2025 quarter.

It uses statistics drawn from key Stats NZ datasets to provide insights into New Zealand’s overall economic performance.

Data sources has more information about the statistics used in this snapshot.

The economy grew in the September 2025 quarter, while unemployment increased

  • New Zealand’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew 1.1 percent in the September 2025 quarter, following a 1.0 percent decrease in the June 2025 quarter.
  • Business services, up 1.6 percent, was the main contributor to the quarterly rise in GDP. This increase was led by professional, scientific, and technical services, such as computer system design and related services. Manufacturing, up 2.2 percent, also contributed, led by food, beverage, and tobacco manufacturing.
  • New Zealand’s unemployment rate was 5.3 percent in the September 2025 quarter, up from 5.2 percent in the June 2025 quarter and 4.9 percent in the September 2024 quarter.

Visit our website to read the full news story: