Economy – Navigating the storm: lessons from monetary and fiscal policy during COVID-19 – Reserve Bank

Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

15 October 2025 – In a keynote address at the Citi Australia & New Zealand Investment Conference, Reserve Bank of New Zealand Chief Economist Paul Conway reflected on lessons learned from monetary and fiscal policy during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Mr Conway emphasised that in normal times, monetary and fiscal policies can pursue their respective objectives, while maintaining economic stability. But in a crisis, the objectives of monetary and fiscal policies may align in an 'all hands on deck' effort to steady financial markets, economic activity, employment, and inflation.

“COVID-19 gave us a crash course on how monetary and fiscal policy can interact in times of extreme economic turbulence. It's important that we learn from that and carry these lessons forward to be ready for the next major shock. All crisis-era monetary and fiscal policies have their costs and benefits. The more we understand these, the better equipped we will be to successfully navigate the next crisis,” Mr Conway said.

New research released alongside the speech assesses the wider costs and benefits of Large-Scale Asset Purchases (LSAPs), which were the primary tool used to deliver additional monetary policy stimulus.

“Our work to date shows that LSAPs stabilised volatile financial markets and helped prevent inflation from undershooting the target midpoint,” Mr Conway said.

“By supporting broader economic activity, LSAPs also contributed to higher government tax revenue. Indeed, the additional government revenue generated by LSAPs largely offset their direct costs.”

Mr Conway added that “while certainly not perfect, LSAPs need to remain a key part of our additional policy toolkit for targeted interventions during financial and economic crisis when the Official Cash Rate has reached its lower limit.”

Mr Conway also highlighted that often there is not necessarily a single 'silver bullet' for managing crises. “Each shock is unique and a flexible, situation-specific mix of monetary and fiscal measures could well be essential.”

This highlights the importance of the monetary and fiscal authorities working alongside each other in an economic crisis. Importantly, this does not imply joint decision making. Even in a crisis, independent monetary policy is essential to keep inflation expectations anchored and central bank credibility intact.

“By carrying forward the lessons of the pandemic, we can ensure New Zealand remains prepared for whatever economic shock lies ahead,” Mr Conway concluded.

More information:

Employment – Expect delays during career firefighters’ one-hour strike on Friday – be extra careful

Source: Fire and Emergency New Zealand

Fire and Emergency New Zealand is urging people and businesses in cities and towns, primarily served by career firefighters, to remain extra careful during the career firefighters’ full withdrawal of labour between 12pm and 1pm on Friday 17 October 2025.
“We will answer 111 fire calls and respond to fires in affected areas, but in areas covered by career firefighters, our response to fires will be delayed,” Deputy National Commander Megan Stiffler says.
“Volunteers in urban areas will respond from their own stations and in their own trucks to help as they regularly do when there are multiple emergencies at one time.
“But it will take longer for our volunteer crews to respond as their stations are further away,” Megan Stiffler says.
“Community safety is of the utmost priority for us. The strike will occur on a weekday, and we are increasing our fire safety messaging.
“We’re asking businesses to be extra careful around any work practices that could result in fire, and make sure their tenants understand their evacuation schemes and procedures,” she says.
“We are advising everyone that, should there be a fire, still call 111 and evacuate early and, once out, stay out.
“People should check their smoke alarms and their escape plans.”
Megan Stiffler says Fire and Emergency will prioritise emergencies and as a result may not respond to less serious incidents in towns and cities during the one-hour strike.
“For example, private fire alarms where there is no evidence of a fire, small rubbish fires, assisting traffic management and animal rescues. This will ensure our resources are focused where they are needed most,” Megan Stiffler says.
“We have notified Hato Hone St John and Wellington Free Ambulance that, for the one-hour strike, our volunteer crews won’t be responding to medical calls outside their patch.
“I want to reassure people that this strike action will not affect most parts of the country which is served by our more than 11,000 volunteers in nearly 600 stations across New Zealand who will respond as usual.
Industrial negotiations:
“Fire and Emergency applied for facilitation with the Employment Relations Authority last week, under urgency. This is an alternative intended to assist parties who have been engaged in protracted bargaining to reach an agreement,” Megan Stiffler says.
“Facilitation is specifically available when strike action has been notified that is likely to endanger the life, safety, or health of persons, which is the case with the NZPFU notified strike action.
“The Authority has granted urgency to our application for facilitation and has directed the parties to attend mediation before 28 October (10 working days) to discuss next steps for facilitation. We hope to have date for this confirmed soon,” Megan Stiffler says.
“We’re disappointed that the NZPFU has rejected our offer of a 5.1 percent pay increase over the next three years, as well as increases to some allowances, and that they have elected to withdraw their labour, compromising public safety.,” Megan Stiffler says.
“We consider the offer is sustainable, balances cost of living pressures being faced by individuals alongside fiscal pressures faced by Fire and Emergency and is consistent with the Government Workforce Policy Statement.
“Fire and Emergency 's goal is, and has always been, to reach a fair, sustainable, and reasonable settlement with the New Zealand Professional Firefighters Union. We are bargaining in good faith and doing everything we can to achieve an agreement without disrupting the services communities rely on. “
Notes
  • Fire and Emergency New Zealand and the New Zealand Professional Firefighters Union have been negotiating a collective employment agreement for career firefighters since 16 July 2024.
  • Fire and Emergency has offered a 5.1 percent pay increase over the next three years, as well as increases to some allowances.
  • Fire and Emergency considers the offer is sustainable, balances cost of living pressures being faced by individuals alongside fiscal pressures faced by Fire and Emergency and is consistent with the Government Workforce Policy Statement.
  • The previous 2022 collective employment agreement settlement provided a cumulative wage increase of up to 24 percent over a three-year period for career firefighters.
  • Fire and Emergency has also been investing in replacing our fleet, with 317 trucks replaced since 2017 and another 78 on order. We are currently spending over $20 million per year on replacement trucks. There is also a significant programme of station upgrades underway, as well as investment in training.
  • For the 2025/26 financial year Fire and Emergency’s operating budget is $857.9 million. Of that operating budget, 59 percent will be spent directly on the frontline, while another 32 percent is spent on frontline enablers. This means that over 90 percent of Fire and Emergency’s budget is spent on the frontline and the people directly supporting the frontline.  

Property Market – New rating valuations for Hurunui – QV

Source: Quotable Value

Hurunui property owners will soon receive a Notice of Rating Valuation in the post, containing an updated rating value for their property.
The new rating valuations have been prepared for 8,920 properties on behalf of Hurunui District Council by Quotable Value (QV). They show the district’s total rateable value is now $10,717,916,350, with the land value of those properties now valued at $6,743,951,300 .
Rating valuations are usually carried out on all New Zealand properties every three years to help local councils set rates for the following three-year period. They reflect the likely selling price of a property (excluding chattels) at the effective revaluation date, which was 1 July 2025.
On average, the value of residential housing in Hurunui has increased 1.5% since the previous effective revaluation date of 1 July 2022. The average home value is now $634,967, while the corresponding average land value has increased 3% to $276,318.
QV Consultant and Registered Valuer Shane de Freitas said, “Rating valuations are like a snapshot of the market at a point in time.”
“When the previous rating valuations were set in July 2022, the local property market had just started to level off after a period of strong post-pandemic growth,” he said.
“In response to that rapid escalation and rising inflation, the Reserve Bank substantially lifted the Official Cash Rate (OCR) throughout 2022, resulting in a sharp rise in interest rates.”
Mr de Freitas said that since the July 2022 revaluation date, the Hurunui residential market has remained largely resilient to the price corrections seen in many other parts of the country and has been further strengthened by recent cuts to the OCR.
“Amberley has benefited from significant population growth, much of which has come from Christchurch, with people drawn to the district’s affordability and lifestyle,” he said.
“Hanmer Springs has also experienced growth, although most active buyers are from out of town. Properties located within the central village and within walking distance of the pools have continued to perform particularly well.”
“Across the district, properties that are well-presented and priced affordably have generally performed the strongest.”
Commercial property values have marginally increased by 1.8%, while industrial property values have risen by 9.4% since the last rating valuation in 2022.
“The industrial sector continues to benefit from low vacancy rates and rising rental levels,” Mr de Freitas said. “Commercial land values have decreased by 4.7%, while industrial land values have increased by 4.1%.”
Mr de Freitas noted that the industrial market has continued to outperform the commercial sector on a national scale – a trend also reflected in the Hurunui District.
Since 2022, the average capital value of a lifestyle property has increased by 3.6% to $845,835, while the average land value has marginally decreased by 1.5% to $402,616.
“Lifestyle property makes up a significant part of the Hurunui market, with around 1,555 lifestyle properties in total,” he said. “This sector has followed a similar trend to the residential market, though slightly more buoyant, with prices marginally increasing since the July 2022 revaluation. Sales volumes in 2025 have also remained largely consistent with those recorded in 2023 and 2024.”
Rural properties have generally been performing positively, supported by increasing commodity prices and a solid short-to-medium-term outlook for both the dairy and beef sectors.
“Dairy sector properties have increased by 5.9%, with corresponding land values up 5% since the last rating valuation,” he said. “In contrast, pastoral and forestry properties have experienced significant decreases, with value levels dropping 9.6% and 8.2% respectively, and corresponding land value declines of 11.7% and 9.3%. This reflects the inflated values seen in 2022 due to competing forestry land use, as well as two years of weaker commodity prices.”
The effective rating revaluation date of 1 July 2025 has now passed and any changes in the market since then will not be included in the new rating valuations. In many cases, this means a sale price achieved in the market today may differ from the new rating valuation set as at 1 July 2025.
The updated rating valuations are independently audited by the Office of the Valuer-General and must meet rigorous quality standards before they are certified. They are not designed to be used as market valuations for raising finance with banks or as insurance valuations.
New rating values will be posted to property owners after 15 October 2025. If owners do not agree with their rating valuation, they have a right to object through the objection process by 21 November 2025.
For more information on rating valuations, visit www.qv.co.nz/about/about-rating-valuations/# or, to object to a new rating valuation, visit www.qv.co.nz/services/rating-valuations/object-rating/.

Economy – Monetary policy and financial stability report dates August 2026 to February 2027

Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

15 October 2025 – The Reserve Bank of New Zealand – Te Pūtea Matua has reviewed the frequency of its monetary policy decision announcements.
 
Chief Economist Paul Conway says the Reserve Bank's primary consideration when scheduling monetary policy decisions is data availability, to enable decisions to be made with as much information as possible.
 
“We have found no evidence that during the past nine years the 12-week gap between decisions over summer has led to unusual divergence between financial market expectations for policy rates and our own. That is, financial markets have adjusted to any new information available in a manner consistent with the MPC's likely response, or 'reaction function',” Mr Conway says.
 
“However, we acknowledge the perception that the gap between November and February is too long and have sought ways to reduce it within the confines of data availability.”
 
The revised schedule maintains the Reserve Bank's current approach of having seven decisions per year, four of which are accompanied by Monetary Policy Statements (MPS), while reducing the gap between a December MPS and February MPS over the 2026/27 period.
 
We will continue to review the timing of schedules as new data become available and is available on a more frequent basis. We note the intention for Statistics New Zealand to begin releasing monthly CPI data in 2027, Mr Conway says.
 
We also note the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) can make unscheduled decisions at any time, should financial or economic conditions warrant it, and has done so in the past.

Monetary policy decision dates for August 2026 to February 2027

  • Wednesday, 2 September 2026 (MPS publication)
  • Wednesday, 28 October 2026 (Monetary Policy Review decision publication)
  • Wednesday, 9 December 2026 (MPS publication)
  • Wednesday, 17 February 2027 (MPS publication).

Financial stability report dates for August 2026 to February 2027

  • Wednesday, 11 November 2026 (FSR publication).

 More information:

Upcoming events – Reserve Bank of New Zealand – Te Pūtea Matua: https://govt.us20.list-manage.com/track/click?u=bd316aa7ee4f5679c56377819&id=08e2c2eed0&e=f3c68946f8

Security – NZ Police Association Conference 2025: President’s Speech

Source: NZ Police Association

Welcome to the 90th Annual Conference of the New Zealand Police Association.
Let me begin by acknowledging the wise, dedicated and, at times, persecuted, former members who laid the foundation for this association. Their hard mahi built the organisation we are proud to be part of today.
To the Minister of Police, Hon. Mark Mitchell: thank you for your continued support of Police and our members. I’ve always said the most important quality in a police minister is wanting the job. You clearly do, and your passion for the role is evident. I’ll speak shortly to some of the legislative changes your government has introduced that reflect this commitment.
To our life members, welcome. It’s a privilege to have you here as we march into our 90th year. You represent the many volunteers who have been the backbone of this Association over the decades.
I also want to acknowledge Lyn Fleming, who made the ultimate sacrifice on January 1st this year. New Zealand lost a truly special person that day. I extend my aroha to Bryn, Aren, Rayna, and all of Lyn’s whānau, friends, and colleagues.
As we gather for this 90th conference, I am stepping down after nine years in the role of president, capping off nearly 30 years of active association involvement.
I’m proud of my small part in the NZPA, but even more so of what the organisation stands for, and the incredible impact it has on the wellbeing of our members and their whānau.
It’s easy to criticise from the sidelines, especially in the age of social media, but the facts speak for themselves.
The NZPA is now one of the most respected unions in the country, with a strong and trusted brand. We are consistently sought for comment on major law and order issues and have played a key role in driving significant legislative change.
While pay rounds will always be challenging, and there is a clear need for remuneration reform, the association has secured real gains, both financial and compensatory, that far exceed what our pioneers in 1936 could have imagined.
The Welfare Fund, thanks in large part to the foresight of life member Dr Rob Moodie, delivers a suite of benefits that rival or surpass any comparable union. Every day this organisation enhances the wellbeing of Police staff and their families. To all our volunteers and staff – past and present – thank you. You are the heart of the association.
Policing remains a career like no other – full of challenges, opportunities, and deep engagement. It’s what makes it so rewarding but also demanding.
I acknowledge the legislative changes this government has introduced to support Police and meet community expectations. The continued support for the Firearms Registry is delivering results. Legislation targeting anti-social road users is exactly what communities have asked for. And most importantly, laws empowering Police to tackle the scourge of criminal gangs are making a real difference.
The gang conflict warrants have proven effective, even preventing a likely homicide. The ability to stop and search gang members during notifiable conflicts has shifted the balance in Police’s favour. The gang patch ban has been a game-changer making communities feel safer and reducing gang influence. I commend the Minister for driving this legislation. While I initially had concerns about enforcement and officer safety, Police has implemented it exceptionally well. Gangs have recognised the rules have changed and Aotearoa is better for it.
Looking ahead, the next legislative steps must consider how technology can be used to protect communities while also respecting individual privacy.
At this conference, we’ll discuss the potential of body-worn cameras and the legislative framework needed to support their use. Right now, we have technologies that can’t be deployed due to outdated laws or overly restrictive court interpretations.
When our Supreme Court rules that a photograph of a criminal in a public place constitutes a “search”, it shows a disconnect, not just with modern realities, but with the communities Police serve.
Facial recognition technology could be transformative for law and order in New Zealand, and I believe the association will support any government that enables its responsible use.
Under the new commissioner, we’ve seen a welcome shift in emphasis.
Offenders were being given too much leeway, and disorder and intimidation were going unchecked. Officers felt powerless, and communities were frustrated. That’s changing, and with it, we’re seeing reductions in various types of offending.
But we must not become complacent.
There are significant headwinds ahead, the biggest being the economy.
Rising unemployment, driven by low productivity, is not just a temporary issue. It’s structural. New Zealand must find new industries to create jobs and a future for our young people. We cannot continue to lose our best and brightest overseas, nor allow those who remain to feel unvalued and disenfranchised. These conditions breed crime, and worse, division.
We need politicians to make the hard calls, not just the popular ones that protect their seats. That means cross-party co-operation and long-term solutions.
The “back to basics” approach to visible policing is resonating strongly with the public. But with this comes a more hardline stance on public disorder and anti-social behaviour, and inevitably, that will lead to complaints and a flood of social media clips for the anti-police brigade to feed on.
Scrutiny of policing is essential, from individual officer actions to the policies and procedures we implement. But that scrutiny must be realistic and proportionate.
I believe the way our current Code of Conduct is interpreted and applied is flawed. It creates an unfair process, adds little value, and causes significant harm to both individuals and the organisation. I doubt that when Dame Margaret Bazley proposed it, she ever intended for performance issues to be treated as Code of Conduct breaches.
This is the key change we need: managers must step up and directly address performance and poor decision-making, rather than deflecting responsibility through a Code investigation. That’s a supervisory duty – not something to be outsourced.
Likewise, HR and ER must ensure we have a fair, robust, and proportionate employment investigation system that delivers outcomes, not just damage.
And, while we’re on the subject, the IPCA should have no role in employment matters. It is independent and should remain so.
The mental health of our members is, in my view, the most pressing issue facing both the Association and Police leadership today. For too long, we’ve known about the problem but we haven’t addressed it in a meaningful or sustained way.
We’re only seeing the tip of the iceberg. And if Police doesn’t take proactive steps to get ahead of this issue, we risk a full-scale collision with it.
Our biannual survey revealed some deeply concerning statistics:
  • 54% of members identified mental health as a serious issue within police culture.
  • 56% reported working while mentally stressed or traumatised.
These figures are not just numbers. They are a stark insight into the scale of the problem. They echo the findings of researcher Garth den Heyer, who concluded that 10% of officers meet the criteria for a diagnosis of PTSD.
Police wellness advisers are doing commendable work. They understand the gravity of the issue and are doing their best, but they cannot solve this alone. We need a comprehensive, system-wide solution. One that prevents another generation of police officers from being permanently harmed.
Minister, I urge you to consider allocating funds from the Proceeds of Crime to address this crisis. It would be a powerful and symbolic step to use the consequences of crime to support those who bear the burden of confronting it every day.
This afternoon, delegates will elect a new president.
I thank the three candidates for putting themselves forward.
While the role is incredibly rewarding, it comes with significant challenges that I am confident each of you is up to.
The incoming President will inherit an organisation in good heart, with strong member support, outstanding staff, and a clear mission to guide the way.
As our membership grows and becomes more diverse, we must ensure that such diversity is reflected in our committees, office holder positions and our board.
We also need to solve the puzzle of how to communicate effectively with newer members. The last sworn pay round showed just how critical clear and open communication is during periods of heightened friction and concern. The webinars introduced during the Police Employee negotiations were a step in the right direction and one to build on.
If the new President can tame the tiger that is social media, we may find a solution, but I caution: tread carefully. It’s a beast that doesn’t always respond well to reality.
Over the past nine years, the Welfare Fund has professionalised to meet the growing demands of regulation and compliance. This has made us stronger, building on the foundations of the past to ensure the Welfare Fund’s future. But there are risks, particularly those stemming from our country’s broken health system and the impact of that on health insurance.
I acknowledge the rising premiums and the strain these place on members. But dismantling our model won’t solve the problem: it will destroy it just when it’s most needed.
Our strength lies in unity.
Allowing members to cherry-pick welfare products will have long-term consequences that weaken the system for everyone.
To the delegates here today, thank you for stepping up.
We are a membership organisation, and so without you, there is no Association.
To our life members, thank you for showing us the way, continuing the honourable tradition of guiding the next generation.
I have full confidence that the Association will be just as strong in another 90 years.
It thrives on the passion of its members, the dedication of its staff, and most importantly, its clear mission:
“Enhancing the wellbeing of Police and their whānau.”
It has been an honour and a privilege to lead this organisation.
I thank those who supported me, those who challenged me and made me work harder, and most importantly, the members who serve their communities every single day.
Representing you all has been the highlight of my life. 

Retail – Egg-citing news; Woolworths NZ achieves 100% cage-free eggs goal

Source: Woolworths NZ

15 October 2025
Woolworths NZ is proud to announce all its eggs on-shelf are now 100% cage-free and that it is also the first national retailer to achieve this milestone.
Woolworths NZ Managing Director Sally Copland says Woolworths NZ’s commitment to animal welfare is a fundamental part of their commitment to the communities they operate within.
“We know our customers trust us to do the right thing and we are incredibly proud to be the first national retailer to have gone completely cage-free with our on-shelf eggs,” she said.
“We appreciate our customers' positive engagement and support throughout this journey which started eight years ago.”
Head of Sustainability for Woolworths NZ Catherine Langabeer says Woolworths will continue to work collaboratively with its egg farmers and suppliers, and that includes a broader ambition that all eggs used as an ingredient in Woolworth’s Own Brand products are also cage-free.
“We remain dedicated to this goal and continue to work closely with our suppliers on transition plans.”
Langabeer said originally Woolworths NZ had set a target deadline of being 100% cage-free by December 2025.
“Having reached our goal for eggs on-shelf three months earlier than we planned shows our genuine commitment to our suppliers and customers, and listening to what is important to them.”
With a 2.5% growth in the total egg market over the past year, Woolworths NZ has also seen a significant growth in its Macro Free Range – with the SPCA blue tick.
“This shows our customers are loving the move away from colony eggs,” Langabeer said.
Better Eggs Chief Executive Officer Gareth van der Heyden says around the world shoppers are increasingly choosing cage-free because they care about where their food comes from and how it’s produced.
“We are proud to supply Woolworths NZ as they move to be 100% cage-free. Doing the right thing by our hens and our customers has always been at the heart of what we do, and it’s inspiring to see Woolworths NZ showing the same commitment through their leadership in this space,” he said.
“We’re also proud to support Woolworths’ efforts to raise the bar for animal welfare and the quality of every egg on shelf.”
For further information on Woolworths NZ’s animal welfare policy click here
About Woolworths New Zealand: Woolworths New Zealand is one of New Zealand’s largest employers with 21,000 team members across over 185 supermarkets, distribution centres, processing plants and support offices. Each week we serve over three million customers and work with hundreds of food producers and suppliers throughout Aotearoa. We’re committed to delivering New Zealand’s best supermarket experiences for customers and team with more value, innovation and accelerated investment in our stores. We’re proud to give back to the communities we live and work in and every year we donate more than $7 million in food, funding and sponsorship to our communities. Woolworths New Zealand is also the franchisor of more than 70 FreshChoice stores, which are locally owned and operated. Woolworths New Zealand is part of Woolworths Group.

Energy – WEL Networks Demonstrates the Future of Smart Grid Innovation with Waihi BESS Energy Hub

Source: WEL Networks

WEL Networks has unveiled a new We.EV energy hub in Waihi that incorporates battery storage with a high-capacity Electric Vehicle (EV) chargers, capable of fast charging four EVs simultaneously. For users, the experience is seamless as the chargers are equipped with contactless payment terminals and are integrated with the We.EV app.
Co-funded by the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority (EECA), the project shows how high-capacity EV charging can be delivered without costly reinforcement. By employing batteries to support a new connection to existing network infrastructure, WEL avoided the need for major network upgrades, creating a faster, lower-cost pathway to support electrification.
The site features:
– Two 180kW EV chargers and four dedicated parks
– A 150kW/300kWh Battery Energy Storage System (BESS)
– An advanced energy management system that actively balances charging demand with the needs of the wider energy system.
In addition to supporting the EV chargers, the BESS is also capable of providing fast and sustained instantaneous reserves to Transpower, supporting national grid stability.
“This project is a great example of how we can maximise existing infrastructure to deliver future-ready solutions,” said David Wiles, WEL Networks GM Energy Services. “It’s not just about charging cars – it’s about smarter energy use, better network utilisation, and supporting an affordable transition to a low-emissions future.”
“This project is a strong example of how we can deliver future-focused energy solutions by making smarter use of the infrastructure we already have,” said Richard Briggs, EECA GM Delivery and Partnerships. “It shows what’s possible when innovation, collaboration and practical thinking come together – helping to reduce emissions, support the grid, and make EV charging more accessible for New Zealanders.”
The project is also expected to deliver community benefits, with EV drivers typically spending 20-30 minutes in town during charging sessions, supporting local businesses and hospitality.
WEL acknowledges the support of EECA and the Hauraki District Council, whose collaboration was instrumental in delivering the project.

Climate – New research to understand the impact of marine heatwaves on fisheries

Source: Earth Sciences New Zealand

A new report has outlined the likelihood of gradual long-term warming of the waters around New Zealand, and an increase in short-term heat events, under different greenhouse gas emission scenarios.
New Zealand’s ocean temperatures are rising and marine heatwaves – periods of unusually warm ocean temperatures which persist for five or more days – are becoming more frequent and severe, with implications for fisheries and marine ecosystems. 
The report by Earth Sciences New Zealand (formerly NIWA) was completed on behalf of Fisheries New Zealand to analyse the regional impacts of long-term warming and temperature extremes on fish species around New Zealand.
Earth Sciences NZ physical oceanographer Dr Erik Behrens says along with the warming of the oceans, marine heatwaves are projected to increase.
“Seas are projected to get hottest around the North Island, and to become longer and more frequent around the South Island. This is in addition to the continued, slower, general warming of New Zealand’s waters,” said Dr Behrens.
Average sea surface temperatures around New Zealand have warmed between 0.2 to 0.3 degrees Celsius per decade from 1982 to 2022. Meanwhile, over those last 40 years, seafloor temperatures have warmed by about 0.1 degrees Celsius per decade.
The warming trends in coastal waters off eastern New Zealand are particularly pronounced, along with offshore waters in the Tasman Sea, and east of New Zealand over the Chatham Rise. 
The report provides maps of past coastal and ocean temperatures for both shallow and deep waters, as well as projections for future temperatures for all regions.
Dr Behrens says marine heatwaves could double in their intensity by the end of the century in high emissions scenarios compared to what we experience today.
“Some recent marine heatwaves have already exceeded historic baseline temperatures by 5 degrees Celsius. So, by the end of the century these could be exceeded by 10 degrees Celsius. Scientists worldwide are working to better understand the effects of marine heatwaves and warming ocean temperatures on the marine environment to prepare for the future,” he said.
Earth Sciences NZ Principal Scientist Dr Matt Dunn says further investigation is required to determine exactly how these changes will affect fisheries and fish species.
“We now know which regions are most likely to experience marine heatwaves and have an understanding of the fish and fisheries that may be impacted. However, further data is needed to confidently predict how the ecosystems will respond, and what specific threats or opportunities ocean warming may bring. Nevertheless, this study represents an important step toward building climate-aware and resilient fisheries for New Zealand,” said Dr Dunn.
Fisheries New Zealand’s Director Science & Information Simon Lawrence says the distribution of some species is changing, and this is expected to continue as our oceans get warmer.
“This research provides another piece in the climate change puzzle that will not only help inform fisheries management, but it also provides vital information for New Zealand’s fishing industry to be adaptable and more resilient to the changes warmer oceans bring,” said Mr Lawrence.
To support a more climate-aware and resilient fisheries, a team led by Earth Sciences New Zealand’s Dr Behrens has secured new funding from the MBIE Endeavour Fund to develop multi-month forecasts for marine heatwaves. 
The project aims to provide an early warning system that will help marine industries, iwi, and regulators to anticipate and prepare for the impacts of approaching heatwaves in their planning and decision-making. 

Electronic card transactions: September 2025 – Stats NZ information release


Transport – North Island talent take home prestigious awards

Source: Ia Ara Aotearoa Transporting New Zealand

Outstanding contributions to the road freight sector were recognised at Transporting New Zealand’s 2025 North Island Road Freight Industry Awards over the weekend in Napier.
The awards, hosted by Transporting New Zealand, celebrate individuals and organisations who drive excellence in the sector – not just on the road but also behind the scenes in workshops, boardrooms, dispatch centres, training yards and rural communities all over Aotearoa.
Greg Pert of Tranzliquid took home the Supreme Contribution to Road Freight Award, sponsored by VTNZ, which recognises a lifetime of service, sector leadership and impact.
Greg Pert has long been a respected leader in the transport sector, previously serving as Chair of the Road Transport Forum and on the board of Transporting New Zealand. Under his leadership, Tranzliquid has introduced new standards for vehicle efficiency and championed driver training and cadetship pathways.
Foodstuffs North Island won the EROAD Outstanding Contribution to Health and Safety Award for embedding safety into every aspect of its operations. Through the mandatory use of Guardian by Seeing Machines and a suite of advanced vehicle safety systems, they’ve achieved major reductions in fatigue and distraction-related incidents.
Taylah Penn of Sharp as Linehaul is this year’s North Island EROAD Young Driver – a class 5 driver and emerging leader at just 20 years old. Taylah has demonstrated technical excellence, dedication, versatility, and strong team values, making her an inspiring example of the next generation driving the industry forward.
The Women in Road Freight Transport Award went to Hayley Alexander, CEO of Alexander Group. Alexander has spent more than 20 years championing diversity, professionalism, and innovation in road transport. Hayley’s progressive vision, mentoring of young professionals, and tireless advocacy for women in transport make her an influential leader.
KAM Transport were awarded the Fruehauf Outstanding Contribution to Innovation Award for their commitment to reducing the company’s environmental impact.
Clive Taylor Haulage earned the MITO Outstanding Contribution to Training Award under the leadership of Tania and Sooty Breach. Their workplace is one where training and development are part of everyday operations. This focus on learning, pride, and retention exemplifies a business that trains to retain.
Dom Kalasih, the chief executive for Transporting New Zealand, said it was heartening to see the range of skilled nominees and winners honoured at the Awards.
“This is a challenging time for many businesses. The number and quality of nominees for these awards show how talented and resilient the freight sector is, and the amount of hard work that’s going on to raise industry standards.” 
About Ia Ara Aotearoa Transporting New Zealand
Ia Ara Aotearoa Transporting New Zealand is the peak national membership association representing the road freight transport industry. Our members operate urban, rural and inter-regional commercial freight transport services throughout the country. Road is the dominant freight mode in New Zealand, transporting 92.8% of the freight task on a tonnage basis, and 75.1% on a tonne-km basis. 
The road freight transport industry employs over 34,000 people across more than 4700 businesses, with an annual turnover of $6 billion.